Commenting for Q posts’ news analysis of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict on 13 Oct, MEI Principle Fellow Alessandro Arduino stresses that while strong Turkish support for Azerbaijan is likely, it will be limited given the possibility of a Turkish-Russian confrontation. He also highlighted the complex role of the Russians who will maintain its diplomatic approach unless military red lines are crossed. Ultimately, Dr Arduino emphasised that regional mediation and pressure from the expatriate Armenians, in addition to international efforts, could play a significant role in reducing tensions.

Read the full analysis in Arabic here.

Image caption: Armenian soldiers take cover as an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) flies above the front line while troops hold positions on October 18, 2020, during the ongoing fighting between Armenia and Azerbaijan over the disputed region. (Photo by ARIS MESSINIS / AFP)