MEI – BISA Seminar Series 2026

 

Series Summary 

This four-part seminar series, a collaboration between the Middle East Institute (MEI) and the British International Studies Association (BISA), examines the cascading consequences of a US-Israeli war against Iran that erupted in early 2026. Structured across four thematic sessions, the series traces the conflict’s impact from Iran’s domestic political transformation and the restructuring of Gulf regional security, through the disruption of global energy markets and Gulf economic stability, to the broader reconfiguration of the global strategic order. By bringing together leading scholars from institutions across Asia, Europe, the Middle East, and Australia, the series offers a comprehensive, multi-layered analysis of a major geopolitical crisis and its far-reaching ramifications.

 

Seminar Four: The War and its Implications for the Global Strategic Order

  • Date: 13th October 2026
  • Focus: Following the outbreak of the US–Israeli war against Iran on 28 February, Iran responded with military strikes against both the United States and Israel, including attacks on US military facilities in the Gulf. The expansion of the conflict into a broader regional war has generated significant implications for the global order. The vulnerability of Gulf states, despite their substantial investment in US defence systems, has raised critical questions about the effectiveness of existing security arrangements. These developments have prompted US allies worldwide to reassess their defence postures and strategic alignments. Furthermore, the two regional wars – the Russia-Ukraine war and the US-Israeli-Iran war show an alarming trend towards convergence, with Ukraine hitting an Iranian ship and the Gulf states purchasing Ukrainian counter-drone expertise. This seminar explores how major powers are adapting to these challenges and considers the potential implications for future geopolitical and economic configurations.
  • Please find speakers’ bio here.

 

 


This series will be held via Zoom on four consecutive Tuesdays beginning 22 September 2026, from 5:00 PM–6:30 PM (Singapore time) | 10:00 AM–11:30 AM (London time).

These sessions are free to attend, but registration is required. Zoom links will be emailed to registered participants 2 days before each session.

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Seminar One: The War and Shifting Political Landscape in Iran
  • Date: 22nd September 2026

  • Focus: Following the outbreak of the US–Israeli war against Iran on 28 February—marked by the assassination of Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Khamenei, alongside senior political figures, military commanders, and nuclear scientists—Iran responded with military strikes against both the United States and Israel, including attacks on US military facilities in the Gulf. The conflict rapidly escalated, with civilian infrastructure becoming a primary target.

    Beyond its immediate destruction, the war has significantly reshaped Iranian society. Pre-war public dissent has largely been redirected toward resistance against foreign invasions, signalling a notable shift in the domestic political landscape. Anti-government movements now face a dual challenge: confronting state repression while navigating the effects of external military aggression. Meanwhile, the elimination of key leadership figures has disrupted existing political structures. While new leadership is emerging, it remains uncertain whether this leadership can maintain political cohesion during the war and in the post-war period. This seminar examines these evolving socio-political dynamics within Iran.

  • Please find speakers’ bio here.

 

Seminar Two: Restructuring Regional Security Reconfiguration in the Gulf

  • Date: 29th September 2026

  • Focus: Following the outbreak of the US–Israeli war against Iran on 28 February, Iran responded with military strikes against both the United States and Israel, including attacks on US military facilities in the Gulf. The conflict rapidly escalated, with civilian infrastructure becoming a primary target.

    The escalation of hostilities has had far-reaching consequences for the Gulf region. Iran’s retaliatory strikes targeted not only US military bases but also civilian infrastructure in Gulf states, transforming the conflict into a broader regional confrontation with significant implications for security, geopolitics, and economic stability. These developments have introduced renewed instability into intra-regional relations. As a result, Gulf countries are compelled to reassess their defence strategies. This seminar explores the long-term geopolitical and security implications for the region.

  • Please find speakers’ bio here.
  • Please find the video recording here.

 

Seminar Three: The War and the Disruption of Global Energy Markets and Gulf Economic Stability

  • Date: 6th October 2026

  • Focus: Following the outbreak of the US–Israeli war against Iran, Iran responded with military strikes against both the United States and Israel, including attacks on US military facilities in the Gulf. The war’s impact extends beyond the immediate region, particularly through Iran’s closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical artery for global oil transportation. This action has intensified geopolitical tensions and disrupted energy markets, contributing to a sharp rise in global oil prices and increasing inflationary pressures worldwide. In the new round of attacks after the ceasefire, Houthis also closed the Strait of Bab el-Mandeb, further limiting international trade routes, particularly the oil route.

    With the security threat, the region has experienced significant outflows of foreign investment and labour, raising concerns about the resilience and sustainability of Gulf economies under conditions of prolonged conflict. The Gulf states, in response, have sought solutions to address the security issues exposed in the face of the war. This seminar addresses both the regional economic consequences of the war and the regional response.

  • Please find speakers’ bio here. 
  • Please find the video recording here.

 

 

Photo caption: A woman crosses Tehran’s Enghelab Square on July 15, 2026, past a giant anti-US billboard featuring US president Donald Trump in a coffin with text in Persian reading “We Kill Trump”. Hostilities renewed between Iran and the US, endangering a memorandum of understanding, reached in June with Qatari and Pakistani mediation, aimed at ending the war. The confrontation resumed on July 7 after attacks on ships in the Gulf, which Iran has attributed to Iran. (Photo by AFP) /

About the Speakers
Session Four Speakers

Dr Jonathan Fulton
Associate Professor of Political Science
College of Humanities and Social Sciences at Zayed University in Abu Dhabi, UAE

Dr Jonathan Fulton is an Associate Professor of Political Science in the College of Humanities and Social Sciences at Zayed University in Abu Dhabi, UAE, and a non-resident senior fellow for Middle East Programs and the Scowcroft Middle East Security Initiative at the Atlantic Council. His research focuses on China’s relations with the Middle East-North Africa, and his most recent book is Building the Belt and Road Initiative in the Arab World: China’s Middle East Math (Routledge, 2025). He is the author of The China MENA Newsletter on Substack.

Mr. Ali Bakir
Nonresident Senior Fellow
Middle East Council on Global Affairs

Dr. Ali Bakir is also Nonresident Senior Fellow with the Middle East Council on Global Affairs, and regional editor of academic journal “Alternatives: Global, Local, Political”. He worked as Editor in Chief of “Tajseer” journal; and Nonresident Senior Fellow with the “Scowcroft Middle East Security Initiative” at the Washington-based “Atlantic Council”, and a Task Force member of the “Center for Strategic and International Studies” (CSIS) in Washington, DC. As a senior foreign policy and security analyst and consultant, Bakir has over 20 years of professional experience working with senior officials, decision-makers, and stakeholders for governmental, non-governmental, and private sector institutions. Before joining Qatar University, he served for 6 years under Qatar’s Foreign Ministry as a Senior Adviser at Qatar’s Embassy in Ankara. Additionally, he was the Head of the “Gulf Studies Unit” at the Middle East Studies Center, Senior Researcher at the Center for Middle Eastern and North African Studies of the International Strategic Research Organization, and a Researcher and Senior Editor at (AIWA) Group for defense and economy.

Dr Andrea Ghiselli
Lecturer in International Politics in the Department of Social and Political Sciences, Philosophy and Anthropology
University of Exeter

Dr Andrea Ghiselli is a Lecturer in International Politics in the Department of Social and Political Sciences, Philosophy and Anthropology at the University of Exeter. He is also a non-resident Research Fellow at the TOChina Hub and Head of Research for its ChinaMed Project. His teaching and research focus on Chinese foreign policy and China’s relations with the Middle East.

Dr. Feng Zhang
Senior Research Fellow
East Asian Institute, National University of Singapore

Dr. Feng Zhang is a Senior Research Fellow at the East Asian Institute, National University of Singapore. His research focuses on China’s foreign policy, Asian international relations, and international relations theory. He is the author of Chinese Hegemony: Grand Strategy and International Institutions in East Asian History (Stanford University Press, 2015) and A Neighbor of Neighbors: China’s Policy Toward Afghanistan, 1949–2024 (Palgrave Macmillan, 2025). With Richard Ned Lebow, he has co-authored Taming Sino-American Rivalry (Oxford University Press, 2020), Justice and International Order: East and West (Oxford University Press, 2022), and Wars and Pandemics: History, Lessons, Analogies (Oxford University Press, forthcoming). His peer-reviewed scholarship has appeared in political science and China studies journals, and his commentary in Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, and other international outlets. He has taught at Yale University, Tsinghua University, the Australian National University, Murdoch University, and the South China University of Technology. In 2024, he was a Visiting Scholar at Yale Law School’s Paul Tsai China Center.

[Moderator] Dr. Liu Jia
Research Fellow
Middle East Institute, National University of Singapore

Liu Jia is Research Fellow at the Middle East Institute, NUS. Jia earned her PhD in Government and International Affairs from Durham University, where she was honoured to be the H.H. Sheikh Nasser al-Mohammad al-Sabah Doctoral Fellow. Jia has also studied in China, Iran, Sweden, Jordan, worked in the UAE, and well-travelled across the West Asia/Middle East. She speaks Chinese, English, Farsi, and is learning Arabic. Jia’s research focuses on two major areas: the politics of Persian speaking world and China-West Asia/Middle East relations.

Event Details

via Zoom

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